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Lebanon’s Mission Impossible: Could US and Israeli Pressure to Disarm Hezbollah Lead to Civil War?

Beirut: Oliver Farry is pleased to welcome Salah Hijazi, who is the Deputy Head of the Politics Desk at the Francophone Lebanese daily, LOrient-Le Jour. He warns Lebanon is trapped in a dangerous stalemate, where the war is no longer governed by Lebanese calculations alone but by a wider regional confrontation involving Israel, Iran, and Hezbollah. Hijazi argues that Israel appears intent not only on weakening Hezbollah militarily, but also exerting extreme pressure on the Lebanese by widening the geography of fear, displacement, and political fracture.

According to France24.com, the situation in Lebanon is increasingly precarious as external forces play a significant role in the country's stability. The pressure from the United States and Israel to disarm Hezbollah is a contentious issue that could potentially lead to a civil war. The involvement of regional powers such as Iran further complicates the scenario, creating a complex web of alliances and oppositions.

Hijazi's insights suggest that the Lebanese government may be losing control over its internal affairs, with international interventions dictating the course of action. The fear is that the current political and military strategies could exacerbate existing tensions, leading to widespread displacement and further political instability. The implications of this could be devastating for Lebanon, a country already grappling with economic and social challenges.

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, but as Hijazi points out, the solution may not be straightforward, given the myriad of interests at play. The potential for a broader conflict remains a significant concern, prompting calls for diplomatic efforts to avoid escalation and ensure regional stability.